Profitability Research Assists Ranchers
Manual and workshop developed through producer input
2003
Arizona Agricultural Experiment Station Research Report

Written by
Joanne Littlefield
Continued drought conditions have hit Southwestern ranchers hard. Deteriorating
range and forage has forced many to reduce their herd numbers, in some
cases to zero. As producers struggle with range problems and subsequent
economic impacts of extended drought, information that enables ranchers
to make better decisions is essential to their ability to bounce back
when range conditions
improve and herd numbers can be increased. A poor financial plan can limit
restocking as much as poor range condition can.
Many Arizona ranchers are preparing long-term plans that will help them
be profitable and preserve their way of life. A research-based manual
and workshop available through the Department of Agricultural and Resource
Economics (AREC) in the University of Arizona College of Agriculture and
Life Sciences offers assistance in three management decision areas that
influence the economic success of a ranch: range condition, livestock
productivity, and financial profitability.
The goal is to help ranchers simultaneously evaluate interactions among
these three areas to develop more viable economic game plans for ranching.

The Planning for Profitability financial
management information is available to download free as pdf files by linking
to the Arizona Ranchers' Management Guide cals.arizona.edu/AREC/pubs/rmg/ranchers.html
You can also purchase a hardcopy of
the entire guide from CALSmart by going online to cals.arizona.edu/
pubs/. The Ranchers' Management Guide includes a section on drought
assistance programs and tax mplications related to destocking and restocking
livestock from drought.
Designed by Russell Tronstad, associate specialist, and
Trent Teegerstrom, research specialist, both from AREC, the package includes
a manual with a computer software curriculum Planning for Profitability:
The University of Arizona Ranch Management School. Input from ranchers,
county extension faculty and Arizona Cattle Growers Association staff
has been used to build and modify this material.
"This curriculum links biological productivity, market
prices, and input costs so that ranchers can estimate the financial impacts
of management decisions, Teegerstrom says. The software quantifies
the financial impacts of feed supplements, alternative drought mitigation
strategies, and alternative calf sale weights and dates.
For example, utilizing this software curriculum, Tronstad
and Teegerstrom determined that calves weighing 450 to 550 pounds should
be targeted for sale in May. The May sales were found marginally more
profitable than November sales in large part because cull cow prices were
higher in May than in November.
The team recently published these results in the September
2003 issue of the Journal of Range Management. The original Ranching for
Profit software template was created in the mid-1990s as a tool for ranchers
to evaluate management strategies accurately. Tronstad and Teegerstrom
have continued to augment and modify this software and supporting curriculum
to adapt to the needs expressed from the livestock community.
For example, the recent drought forced many ranchers
to evaluate the decision to exit or restock the ranch, Tronstad
says. We built into this curriculum the ability analyze how a forced
destocking from a subsequent drought would impact the cumulative returns
associated with alternative restocking paths. The system also provides
computer decision support for evaluating alternative drought mitigation
strategies, cow-culling strategies, and a diagnostic tree of costs and
returns on a per-exposed-cow basis.
He says ranchers can enter numbers that reflect a baseline
for their operation, and then evaluate how alternative management strategies
or policies imposed on them will affect their profitability per exposed
cow or hundred-weight of steer calf sold.
It is difficult to place a common unit across ranches to
measure profitability, the scientists say. Multiple revenue sources are
obtained from a ranch over different time periods (e.g., cull cows, cull
bulls, heifer calves, steer calves, yearling steers), fertility and calving
percentages vary by ranch, and ranches sell calves at different sale weights.
Based on the research, the educational program was developed to enable
livestock producers to pinpoint problem cost and revenue areas throughout
the year and adjust their management plans accordingly. Predictions about
weather and price changes could then easily be compensated for.
Adjustments in one component of the spreadsheet program
are linked to others, Tronstad says. Bringing these research tools
to key clientele through hands-on workshops throughout the state has proved
to be quite helpful.
Our main focus during these computer workshops has
been on the ranch profitability spreadsheets, and decisions made from
these spreadsheets, Teegerstrom adds. Through the acquisition of
a 20-machine mobile wireless computer lab, they have been able to deliver
hands-on computer workshops to more than 400ranchers and agribusiness
professionals in recent earsapproximately 80 percent of Arizona's
industry based on total market sales. The computer lab was facilitated
in 2002 through a USDA/RMA grant acquired by the scientists.
They have offered profitability workshops in Cochise, Santa
Cruz, Graham/Greenlee, Coconino and Yavapai counties in Arizona; in St.
George, Kanab and Fredonia, Utah; and at the Southwest Indian Agriculture
Association (SWIAA) meetings in Arizona and Nevada. Sessions have been
presented to the Havasupai, Navajo, Hopi, San Carlos Apache and White
Mountain Apache.

Financial management workshop conducted
by associate specialist Russ Tronstad.
The educational program and materials were developed through a joint
effort of the University of Arizona Cooperative Extension, Agricultural
Experiment Station, Agricultural and Resource Economics Department, Animal
Sciences Department, Agricultural Education Department, and School of
Renewable Natural Resources; and USDA/Risk Management Agency, Gila Cattle
Growers and Yavapai Cattle Growers.
In 2003 a partnership was developed with the Arizona Cattlegrowers, Arizona
Farm Bureau, and Southwest Farm Credit to offer joint workshops on finance
utilizing both the Planning for Profitability curricula and the partners
curricula.
Teegerstrom notes that some agricultural producers may be able to obtain
new ideas about management strategies just by going through the planning
process.
We also offer crop solver software for farmers that
provides an optimal crop mix subject to water, labor, risk, and other
resource constraints for up to 20 different crops, he says.
A paper describing experiences and insights they have obtained in delivering
computer workshops will be presented at the session Implementation
and Impact ofModern Electronic Technologies on Extension at the
2004 Allied Social Sciences Association conference. The paper is also
scheduled to appear in the August 2004 issue of the American Journal of
Agricultural Economics.
CONTACT:
Russell Tronstad
(520) 621-2425
tronstad@ag.arizona.edu
Trent Teegerstrom
(520) 621-6245
tteegers@ag.arizona.edu
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shown, or indirectly implied in this publication do not imply endorsement
by the University of Arizona.
Published January 2004
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