Description of a Good Futurist |
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-- a university of arizona
course on methods and approaches for studying the future
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There are different perspectives on what constitutes a good futurist. In part,
the answer depends on whether you want an overview or a detailed study, whether
the person is a full time futurist or their job is mostly doing non-futures
work, and what resources and tools they have available. My perspective on the
characteristics of a good general futurist are:
Develop anticipatory
skills and maintain awareness of current and potential changes
Know what to look for and separating important events from noise
Use a radar approach rather than a vacuum cleaner approach to data
gathering
Know what tools are available and when to use them and when not
to use them
Prepare to react early to new changes while allowing for flexibility
as more is learned
Don't place undue trust in experts or in non-experts (or yourself)
Watch out for the bandwagon effect (safety in keeping with fads)
Watch out for group think (fear of standing out)
Be wary of unstated assumptions or simplistic statements
Define your "future" time frame and don't go out too
near or too far
Implement foresight knowledge into your daily activities so you
become an "automated futurist"
Related page: Futurists viewpoints on good futures studies (book reviews)