References for Futures Reading |
-- a university of arizona
course on methods and approaches for studying the future
|
References are grouped as: web sites related to driving forces of change, futures organizations (U.S. and international), newsletters and periodicals, and selected individuals. I have not listed the specific information on my website, but an overall reference for futures approaches and links is at http://ag.arizona.edu/futures/shortcourse/
Web sites related to driving forces of change
Selected sites that have driving force selections or trends and statistics.
Fedstats: gateway to statistics
in over 100 federal agencies. Information organized by topic, geographic location,
and agency. Includes press releases and summary reports, and key statistics.
http://www.fedstats.gov/
Horizon. The Horizon On-Ramp Page includes links to valuable
information databases, articles, and resources in the social, technological, economic, environmental, and political (or STEEP) sectors so that we can plan more effectively.
http://horizon.unc.edu/onramp/
George Washington University
Forecast of Emerging Technologies. Since 1985 Professor Bill Halal has conducted a periodic
survey of 50 authorities to forecast advances in all technical fields – it
is sort of a virtual think tank to track the Technology Revolution.
http://GWForecast.gwu.edu
(individual articles by Halal are at http://home.gwu.edu/~halal/Articles/articles.html)
Global Trends 2025, Center
for Strategic and International Studies. The study, Global Trends 2025:
The Challenges of a New Millennium, takes advantage of ongoing work at
CSIS as well as new research to outline the future of broad trends in such
areas as economy, environment, conflict, society, and science and technology.
http://www.csis.org/gt2005/
World Tables Dataset Guide,
World Bank. Published annually and includes economic and social data organized
by country or subject.
http://www.ciesin.org/IC/wbank/wtables.html
Futures Organizations (United States)
Some of these organizations have a more narrow focus or values bias, but most cover the broad range of futures topics.
Battelle. Battelle's team of
technology forecasters provides insight into the technological innovations
that will spell success for industry and government in the future. Note the
focus is on technology.
http://www.battelle.org/forecasts/
Brookings Institution. The
Brookings Institution is an independent, nonpartisan organization devoted
to research, analysis, education, and publication focused on public policy
issues in the areas of economics, foreign policy, and governance.
http://brookings.org
Global Business Network. As a worldwide membership organization, GBN engages in a
collaborative exploration of the future, discovering the frontiers of knowledge
and creating innovative tools for strategic action. They provide consulting
and training and have a very good reputation on developing scenarios, and
list examples on their site. They also provide an annual listing of recommended
books to read (that cover a large range of topics).
http://www.gbn.org/ (book review
lists at http://www.gbn.org/public/services/bookclub/)
Hudson Institute. Hudson performs
applied research toward policy issues and works to counsel and guide policy
change, applying our ideas whenever possible alongside other leaders in communities,
businesses, non-profit organizations and governments alike.
http://www.hudson.org/
Institute for the Future. Based
in Menlo Park, California on Sand Hill Road, known as the Wall Street of the
West, IFTF is an independent, non-profit research firm specializing in long-term
forecasting. The firm develops an annual 10 year forecasts (with summarize
available on the web).
http://iftf.org/
Rand Corporation. They see
their job as helping to improve policy and decision making through research
and analysis. This includes developing new knowledge to inform decision makers
without suggesting any specific course of action but often they spelling out
the range of available options and analyze their relative advantages and disadvantages.
http://www.rand.org/
World Future Society. The World
Future Society is an association of people interested in how social and technological
developments are shaping the future. The Society was founded in 1966 and is
chartered as a nonprofit educational and scientific organization in Washington, D.C., U.S.A. They develop 10
forecasts annually but also include a good deal of general information on
the web site.
http://www.wfs.org/
U.S. Department of Labor, Occupational
Outlook. The 2002-2003 edition provides descriptions of current conditions
and expected trends in many occupations.
http://www.bls.gov/oco/
Futures Organizations (International)
These organizations range from independent, to support for a high level government focus, or for consortia or organizations of multiple parties. There is no equivalent organization for the United States government.
Finland Futures Research Center. The center is an organization for futures research, education and development, which has operations on local, national and international level. The Center produces and promotes visionary information on the future trends of society and the environment. http://www.tukkk.fi/tutu/english.htm
Forward Studies Unit of the
European Commission. The unit has three tasks: to monitor and evaluate European
integration; to establish permanent relations with bodies involved in forecasting;
and to work on specific briefs. It provides a number of reports.
http://europa.eu.int/comm/cdp/index_en.htm
International Futures Program
of the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The OECD consists of 30 countries, including the US. The Program offers a number of distinguishing features: improved
monitoring of the long-term economic and social horizon, with early warning
on emerging issues; more accurate pinpointing of major developments and possible
trend breaks; greater analytical appreciation of key long-term issues; and
better dialogue and information-sharing to help set policy agendas and map
strategy.
http://www.oecd.org/EN/home/0,,EN-home-notheme-11-no-no-no-0,00.html
Newsletters and Periodicals
These newsletters are broad based and futures directed. The one on energy is typical of more specific newsletters, but is listed because of the growing interest in the changes taking place in the energy field and as an example of specific newsletter formats.
EREN NETWORK NEWS - A weekly
newsletter from the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy Network (EREN). Free subscription at:
http://www.eren.doe.gov/news/subscribe/.
Innovation Weekly – A weekly
report on trends, strategies and innovations in business and technology. $18/year
for paid subscribers; company-wide distribution licenses are also available
for corporations, academic institutions, and nonprofit organizations.
http://www.NewsScan.com
Future Survey – A Monthly Abstract
of Books, Articles, and Reports
Concerning Forecasts, Trends, and Ideas about the Future. $98 per year for
individuals (12 monthly issues). Subscriptions for libraries and other institutions
are $145 per year.
http://wfs.org/fsurv.htm
Selected Individuals
The two names below have been in the futures field for many years and are highly respected by their peers. There are others in the field, but they are not listed because their web pages either don’t exist or are not useful in gaining additional information.
Joseph Coates. Consulting futurist,
former principle of Coates and Jarrett and assistant director of the former
U.S. Office of Technology Assessment. Web site provides large listing of articles,
resources speeches, and issues analysis. Orientation is toward technology
but is very broad.
http://josephcoates.com/
James Dator. Professor of Political
Science at University of Hawaii, one of founders of World Futures Study Foundation
and the Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies. His focus is on political
and societal issues but is also very broad.
http://www.futures.hawaii.edu/
Updated
November 2002
rlc